State Performance Assessment
U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (ETA)
April 06, 2021
Washington Performance Results for PY 2019
About
This report is the Employment and Training Administration's (ETA) assessment of PY 2019 WIOA performance results for Washington. Performance is assessed using state negotiated levels of performance, actual levels of performance, actual participant characteristics and economic conditions within a state, and estimates of the statistical adjustment models for PY 2019. Once ETA received PY 2019 participant data, proxy model estimates were used to adjust the PY 2019 negotiated levels of performance. The adjusted levels of performance were then compared against the actual levels of performance of states to get the individual indicator scores and overall indicator and program scores.
There are limits to the conclusions that can be drawn from the PY 2019 assessment as PY 2019 was negotiated and adjusted with statistical models that used proxy WIA data (PY 2015 and prior). As a result, this report is informational only and is being used by ETA only to engage with states and deliver technical assistance where necessary. No formal determinations of performance success or failure as defined by WIOA are appropriate at this time.
Some things to note about this performance assessment:
- The model estimates are only proxy estimates since they were generated using only WIA data as a proxy.
- Indicator scores for the Measurable Skill Gains indicator could not be evaluated because there is no WIA data that can be used as a proxy. Performance for the Measurable Skill Gains indicator will first occur for PY 2020.
- Median Earnings 2nd Quarter after Exit for the Youth program could not be assessed because an adequate proxy WIA model could not be developed due to the lack of necessary data under WIA.
- The participant characteristic variables related to the Education Functioning Level (i.e., eflpre, eflprescore, and eflpostscore) were held constant because the reporting structure for EFL changed from WIA to WIOA.
Overview
The figures here give an overview of the performance results for Washington in PY 2019 using the proxy model estimates to get performance scores as discussed in About. The data table shows the summary data related to these figures.
State Performance Scores
The figures below show the performance scores for Washington. The color of the state map (i.e., green for performance success or purple for performance failure) indicates if Washington had any type of performance failure. The boxes on the right show the overall state indicator scores and overall state program scores. There is a performance failure if any overall score is below 90%.
The figure below shows the individual indicator scores for each program. The scores are calculated by dividing the actual level of performance by the adjusted level of performance (the values used in the calculation are shown in the box). A failure occurs if an individual indicator score is below 50%.
State Comparison
The figures below show how Washington compared to all other states in PY 2019. Distributions of actual levels of performance for each indicator for all states are on the left and distributions of individual indicator scores for all states are on the right. The ranking of Washington for each distribution is flagged.
Data Table
| Program | Indicator | Negotiated Level | Adjusted Level | Actual Level | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adult | Employment Rate 2nd Quarter after Exit | 74.0% | 68.6% | 68.2% | 99.3% |
| Median Earnings 2nd Quarter after Exit | $6,500 | $10,151 | $8,577 | 84.4% | |
| Employment Rate 4th Quarter after Exit | 73.2% | 71.7% | 68.7% | 95.9% | |
| Credential Attainment Rate | 63.4% | 52.0% | 66.9% | 128.7% | |
| Overall Program Score | 102% | ||||
| Dislocated Worker | Employment Rate 2nd Quarter after Exit | 79.4% | 74.2% | 71.1% | 95.8% |
| Median Earnings 2nd Quarter after Exit | $6,500 | $6,554 | $9,706 | 148% | |
| Employment Rate 4th Quarter after Exit | 76.1% | 72.0% | 72.1% | 100.1% | |
| Credential Attainment Rate | 66.8% | 56.4% | 74.9% | 132.7% | |
| Overall Program Score | 119.1% | ||||
| Youth | Employment Rate 2nd Quarter after Exit | 64.0% | 64.4% | 63.3% | 98.2% |
| Employment Rate 4th Quarter after Exit | 60.4% | 55.0% | 65.3% | 118.8% | |
| Credential Attainment Rate | 52.7% | 34.1% | 65.9% | 193% | |
| Overall Program Score | 136.6% | ||||
| Wagner-Peyser | Employment Rate 2nd Quarter after Exit | 70.0% | 69.1% | 68.2% | 98.8% |
| Median Earnings 2nd Quarter after Exit | $7,000 | $7,776 | $7,608 | 97.8% | |
| Employment Rate 4th Quarter after Exit | 68.0% | 68.4% | 67.3% | 98.4% | |
| Overall Program Score | 98.2% | ||||
| Overall Indicator Score | Employment Rate 2nd Quarter after Exit | 98% | |||
| Median Earnings 2nd Quarter after Exit | 110% | ||||
| Employment Rate 4th Quarter after Exit | 103.2% | ||||
| Credential Attainment Rate | 151.4% |
Adult
This is an overview of the assessment of PY 2019 WIOA performance results for Washington in the Adult program. The figure shows the relationship between the negotiated, adjusted, and actual levels of performance. The data table shows the effects of each variable in the statistical adjustment model.
Results
These figures show details for each of the performance indicators in this program.
- The negotiated level of performance is the agreed upon target level of performance for PY 2019 prior to the start of PY 2019.
- The adjusted level of performance is the result of re-calculating the negotiated level of performance once PY 2019 ends. It is calculated using model estimates, data on actual program participants in PY 2019, and data on actual economic conditions in which the participants were served.
- The adjustment factor is the total amount that the original negotiated level was adjusted.
- The actual level of performance shows the actual reported performance results for the indicator and includes the individual indicator score (i.e., the actual level divided by the adjusted level).
Model Data Tables
For each indicator, the tables below show the estimates for each of the variables in the statistical adjustment model and the related actual data. This data is used to determine the adjusted level of performance. The definitions of the table columns are as follows:
- Coefficient - the effect (or weight) of the variable.
- PY Prior - the actual data for each variable for this state in the last PY prior to negotiations.
- PY Actual - the actual data for each variable for this state in PY 2019.
- Variable Estimate0 - the amount the variable contributed to the pre-PY 2019 predicted target for this indicator as used as a factor in negotiations. It is calculated by multiplying the Coefficient by the PY Prior.
- Variable Estimate1 - the amount the variable contributed to the post-PY 2019 predicted target for this indicator using actual PY 2019 data. It is calculated by multiplying the Coefficient by the PY Actual.
- Adjustment - the amount the variable contributed to the adjustment factor for the indicator. It is calculated by subtracting Variable Estimate0 from Variable Estimate1.
Performance Indicator:
Employment Rate 2nd Quarter after Exit
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2019 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2019 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| 78.39% | 73.03% | -5.37% |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Female | 0.0751 | 0.5449 | 0.4689 | 4.09% | 3.52% | -0.57% |
| Age 25 to 44 | 0.0231 | 0.5270 | 0.4607 | 1.22% | 1.07% | -0.15% | |
| Age 45 to 54 | -0.0079 | 0.1883 | 0.2369 | -0.15% | -0.19% | -0.04% | |
| Age 55 to 59 | 0.0960 | 0.0685 | 0.1122 | 0.66% | 1.08% | 0.42% | |
| Age 60 or more | -0.4201 | 0.0366 | 0.1276 | -1.54% | -5.36% | -3.82% | |
| Hispanic Ethnicity | -0.0080 | 0.1221 | 0.0659 | -0.10% | -0.05% | 0.04% | |
| Race: American Indian | -0.0827 | 0.0350 | 0.0298 | -0.29% | -0.25% | 0.04% | |
| Race: Asian | 0.1093 | 0.0793 | 0.0978 | 0.87% | 1.07% | 0.20% | |
| Race: Black | -0.0229 | 0.1501 | 0.0708 | -0.34% | -0.16% | 0.18% | |
| Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | -0.0030 | 0.0132 | 0.0202 | 0.00% | -0.01% | 0.00% | |
| Race: Multiple | -0.0576 | 0.0233 | 0.0323 | -0.13% | -0.19% | -0.05% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Less than High School Graduate | -0.1843 | 0.0774 | 0.0609 | -1.43% | -1.12% | 0.30% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | 0.0211 | 0.4640 | 0.2941 | 0.98% | 0.62% | -0.36% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Some College | 0.1033 | 0.2163 | 0.2116 | 2.23% | 2.19% | -0.05% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Certificate or Other Post-Secondary Degree | 0.0598 | 0.0097 | 0.0334 | 0.06% | 0.20% | 0.14% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Associate Degree | 0.2672 | 0.1015 | 0.1064 | 2.71% | 2.84% | 0.13% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Bachelor Degree | -0.0022 | 0.0992 | 0.2119 | -0.02% | -0.05% | -0.02% | |
| Individual with a Disability | -0.1237 | 0.0615 | 0.0763 | -0.76% | -0.94% | -0.18% | |
| Veteran | 0.0936 | 0.0840 | 0.0667 | 0.79% | 0.62% | -0.16% | |
| Received Wagner-Peyser Act Services | -0.0119 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | -1.19% | -1.19% | 0.00% | |
| Limited English Proficiency | 0.2420 | 0.0766 | 0.0759 | 1.85% | 1.84% | -0.02% | |
| Single Parent | 0.0312 | 0.2692 | 0.0319 | 0.84% | 0.10% | -0.74% | |
| Low Income | -0.0026 | 0.8989 | 0.1761 | -0.23% | -0.05% | 0.19% | |
| TANF Recipient | -0.0407 | 0.0681 | 0.0449 | -0.28% | -0.18% | 0.09% | |
| Other Public Assistance Recipient | -0.0274 | 0.6079 | 0.0604 | -1.66% | -0.17% | 1.50% | |
| Homeless | -0.0990 | 0.0595 | 0.0446 | -0.59% | -0.44% | 0.15% | |
| Individual who was Incarcerated | -0.0214 | 0.1295 | 0.0765 | -0.28% | -0.16% | 0.11% | |
| UI Claimant | 0.0065 | 0.2439 | 0.0522 | 0.16% | 0.03% | -0.12% | |
| UI Exhaustee | -0.0708 | 0.0008 | 0.0000 | -0.01% | 0.00% | 0.01% | |
| Supportive Services Recipient | 0.0379 | 0.1711 | 0.1144 | 0.65% | 0.43% | -0.21% | |
| Received Needs-related Payments | -0.0671 | 0.0019 | 0.0004 | -0.01% | 0.00% | 0.01% | |
| Received Individualized Career Services | 0.0146 | 0.9047 | 0.1415 | 1.32% | 0.21% | -1.11% | |
| Received Training | 0.1067 | 0.4726 | 0.0477 | 5.04% | 0.51% | -4.53% | |
| Established Individual Training Account | -0.0283 | 0.1564 | 0.0322 | -0.44% | -0.09% | 0.35% | |
| Pell Grant Recipient | -0.0365 | 0.0650 | 0.0089 | -0.24% | -0.03% | 0.20% | |
| Received Pre-vocational Services | -0.0112 | 0.0397 | 0.1113 | -0.04% | -0.12% | -0.08% | |
| Days in Program | 0.0000 | 236.8755 | 49.4496 | -1.01% | -0.21% | 0.80% | |
| Educational Status at Program Entry | -0.0330 | 0.0004 | 0.0504 | 0.00% | -0.17% | -0.17% | |
| Employment Status at Program Entry | 0.0509 | 0.1626 | 0.0931 | 0.83% | 0.47% | -0.35% | |
| Received Wages 2 Quarters Prior to Participation | 0.0520 | 0.5107 | 0.8290 | 2.65% | 4.31% | 1.65% | |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | -1.4015 | 0.0334 | 0.0311 | -4.68% | -4.35% | 0.33% |
| Construction Employment | -1.7088 | 0.0533 | 0.0600 | -9.11% | -10.25% | -1.14% | |
| Manufacturing Employment | -0.5120 | 0.0954 | 0.0891 | -4.89% | -4.56% | 0.33% | |
| Information Services Employment | -1.0836 | 0.0385 | 0.0421 | -4.17% | -4.56% | -0.39% | |
| Financial Services Employment | -1.9796 | 0.0452 | 0.0446 | -8.95% | -8.82% | 0.13% | |
| Professional and Business Services Employment | 0.4487 | 0.1245 | 0.1252 | 5.59% | 5.62% | 0.03% | |
| Educational or Health Care Employment | -0.8222 | 0.2254 | 0.2245 | -18.53% | -18.46% | 0.07% | |
| Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | -1.2238 | 0.1056 | 0.1068 | -12.93% | -13.07% | -0.14% | |
| Other Services Employment | -1.6016 | 0.0297 | 0.0299 | -4.75% | -4.78% | -0.03% | |
| Public Administration | -1.1375 | 0.0506 | 0.0495 | -5.75% | -5.63% | 0.12% | |
| Unemployment Rate (Not Seasonally Adjusted) | -1.3597 | 0.0558 | 0.0443 | -7.58% | -6.02% | 1.56% |
Median Earnings 2nd Quarter after Exit
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2019 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2019 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| $5,882.63 | $9,533.62 | $3,650.99 |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Female | -1940.2541 | 0.5497 | 0.4700 | -$1,066.54 | -$911.97 | $154.58 |
| Age 25 to 44 | 422.2077 | 0.5359 | 0.4740 | $226.24 | $200.13 | -$26.11 | |
| Age 45 to 54 | -437.4060 | 0.1855 | 0.2428 | -$81.12 | -$106.20 | -$25.08 | |
| Age 55 to 59 | 522.6574 | 0.0589 | 0.1134 | $30.79 | $59.27 | $28.48 | |
| Age 60 or more | 662.3522 | 0.0277 | 0.1033 | $18.32 | $68.45 | $50.12 | |
| Hispanic Ethnicity | -1596.6279 | 0.1240 | 0.0697 | -$197.94 | -$111.23 | $86.71 | |
| Race: American Indian | -2991.1077 | 0.0343 | 0.0293 | -$102.67 | -$87.52 | $15.14 | |
| Race: Asian | 1276.3620 | 0.0809 | 0.0989 | $103.31 | $126.19 | $22.88 | |
| Race: Black | -817.7831 | 0.1460 | 0.0731 | -$119.40 | -$59.80 | $59.60 | |
| Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | 1526.6272 | 0.0138 | 0.0204 | $21.12 | $31.21 | $10.09 | |
| Race: Multiple | 382.0255 | 0.0231 | 0.0327 | $8.81 | $12.48 | $3.67 | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Less than High School Graduate | -730.1492 | 0.0702 | 0.0585 | -$51.25 | -$42.69 | $8.56 | |
| Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | -416.0409 | 0.4698 | 0.2943 | -$195.45 | -$122.43 | $73.01 | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Some College | 985.6727 | 0.2162 | 0.2062 | $213.09 | $203.24 | -$9.85 | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Certificate or Other Post-Secondary Degree | 2744.8292 | 0.0108 | 0.0337 | $29.53 | $92.42 | $62.89 | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Associate Degree | 3371.4895 | 0.1019 | 0.1086 | $343.71 | $366.28 | $22.57 | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Bachelor Degree | 3059.6143 | 0.1004 | 0.2160 | $307.22 | $660.97 | $353.76 | |
| Individual with a Disability | -1131.4745 | 0.0523 | 0.0614 | -$59.12 | -$69.52 | -$10.40 | |
| Veteran | 1826.5462 | 0.0768 | 0.0622 | $140.36 | $113.53 | -$26.83 | |
| Received Wagner-Peyser Act Services | -41.9753 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | -$41.98 | -$41.98 | $0.00 | |
| Limited English Proficiency | 1693.5999 | 0.0758 | 0.0749 | $128.41 | $126.87 | -$1.54 | |
| Single Parent | -670.8180 | 0.2792 | 0.0336 | -$187.29 | -$22.51 | $164.79 | |
| Low Income | -700.8259 | 0.8950 | 0.1672 | -$627.22 | -$117.15 | $510.07 | |
| TANF Recipient | 1174.7432 | 0.0651 | 0.0393 | $76.43 | $46.21 | -$30.22 | |
| Other Public Assistance Recipient | 6.4811 | 0.5927 | 0.0606 | $3.84 | $0.39 | -$3.45 | |
| Homeless | 360.2565 | 0.0523 | 0.0380 | $18.82 | $13.68 | -$5.15 | |
| Individual who was Incarcerated | -239.2977 | 0.1117 | 0.0700 | -$26.72 | -$16.76 | $9.97 | |
| UI Claimant | -580.8368 | 0.2623 | 0.0711 | -$152.35 | -$41.30 | $111.06 | |
| UI Exhaustee | -211.9141 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |
| Supportive Services Recipient | 119.2183 | 0.1552 | 0.1167 | $18.51 | $13.91 | -$4.59 | |
| Received Needs-related Payments | -324.4262 | 0.0020 | 0.0005 | -$0.66 | -$0.17 | $0.49 | |
| Received Individualized Career Services | 285.2642 | 0.8986 | 0.1434 | $256.33 | $40.90 | -$215.43 | |
| Received Training | 1302.8934 | 0.4826 | 0.0538 | $628.75 | $70.04 | -$558.72 | |
| Established Individual Training Account | 50.3966 | 0.1619 | 0.0368 | $8.16 | $1.85 | -$6.31 | |
| Pell Grant Recipient | 366.7847 | 0.0681 | 0.0103 | $24.99 | $3.76 | -$21.23 | |
| Received Pre-vocational Services | -174.9981 | 0.0374 | 0.1126 | -$6.54 | -$19.71 | -$13.17 | |
| Days in Program | 0.9384 | 224.2085 | 49.5917 | $210.40 | $46.54 | -$163.86 | |
| Educational Status at Program Entry | 394.7860 | 0.0005 | 0.0513 | $0.20 | $20.26 | $20.05 | |
| Employment Status at Program Entry | 1022.4497 | 0.1849 | 0.1089 | $189.09 | $111.38 | -$77.71 | |
| Received Wages 2 Quarters Prior to Participation | -2305.9184 | 0.5630 | 0.8673 | -$1,298.26 | -$2,000.02 | -$701.76 | |
| Wages 1 Quarter Prior to Participation | 0.3644 | 693.1950 | 11044.4150 | $252.61 | $4,024.73 | $3,772.12 | |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | 29407.3388 | 0.0334 | 0.0311 | $981.82 | $913.12 | -$68.70 |
| Construction Employment | 15403.1946 | 0.0533 | 0.0600 | $820.86 | $923.72 | $102.86 | |
| Manufacturing Employment | 24324.7761 | 0.0954 | 0.0891 | $2,321.07 | $2,166.42 | -$154.65 | |
| Information Services Employment | 7223.6277 | 0.0385 | 0.0421 | $277.85 | $303.92 | $26.07 | |
| Financial Services Employment | 5436.2609 | 0.0452 | 0.0446 | $245.84 | $242.23 | -$3.61 | |
| Professional and Business Services Employment | 37504.0485 | 0.1245 | 0.1252 | $4,668.77 | $4,696.83 | $28.05 | |
| Educational or Health Care Employment | 26496.7726 | 0.2254 | 0.2245 | $5,971.67 | $5,949.39 | -$22.29 | |
| Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | 15153.5454 | 0.1056 | 0.1068 | $1,600.91 | $1,618.17 | $17.26 | |
| Other Services Employment | 18447.3051 | 0.0297 | 0.0299 | $547.33 | $550.75 | $3.41 | |
| Public Administration | 28459.3780 | 0.0506 | 0.0495 | $1,438.79 | $1,409.51 | -$29.28 | |
| Unemployment Rate (Not Seasonally Adjusted) | -9803.9959 | 0.0558 | 0.0443 | -$546.72 | -$434.09 | $112.63 |
Employment Rate 4th Quarter after Exit
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2019 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2019 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| 77.92% | 76.39% | -1.52% |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Female | 0.0125 | 0.5503 | 0.4723 | 0.69% | 0.59% | -0.10% |
| Age 25 to 44 | 0.0503 | 0.5312 | 0.4543 | 2.67% | 2.29% | -0.39% | |
| Age 45 to 54 | -0.1084 | 0.1938 | 0.2382 | -2.10% | -2.58% | -0.48% | |
| Age 55 to 59 | 0.0206 | 0.0595 | 0.1176 | 0.12% | 0.24% | 0.12% | |
| Age 60 or more | -0.2491 | 0.0314 | 0.1286 | -0.78% | -3.20% | -2.42% | |
| Hispanic Ethnicity | -0.0647 | 0.1066 | 0.0623 | -0.69% | -0.40% | 0.29% | |
| Race: American Indian | -0.0412 | 0.0324 | 0.0301 | -0.13% | -0.12% | 0.01% | |
| Race: Asian | 0.3557 | 0.0748 | 0.0988 | 2.66% | 3.52% | 0.85% | |
| Race: Black | -0.0212 | 0.1537 | 0.0727 | -0.33% | -0.15% | 0.17% | |
| Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | 0.3948 | 0.0160 | 0.0201 | 0.63% | 0.80% | 0.16% | |
| Race: Multiple | 0.0766 | 0.0251 | 0.0317 | 0.19% | 0.24% | 0.05% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Less than High School Graduate | -0.1559 | 0.0912 | 0.0575 | -1.42% | -0.90% | 0.53% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | 0.0363 | 0.4654 | 0.2989 | 1.69% | 1.09% | -0.60% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Some College | 0.0579 | 0.2212 | 0.2157 | 1.28% | 1.25% | -0.03% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Certificate or Other Post-Secondary Degree | -0.1656 | 0.0077 | 0.0337 | -0.13% | -0.56% | -0.43% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Associate Degree | 0.3120 | 0.1046 | 0.1031 | 3.26% | 3.22% | -0.05% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Bachelor Degree | 0.1173 | 0.0852 | 0.2097 | 1.00% | 2.46% | 1.46% | |
| Individual with a Disability | -0.1579 | 0.0508 | 0.0746 | -0.80% | -1.18% | -0.38% | |
| Veteran | 0.0998 | 0.0822 | 0.0705 | 0.82% | 0.70% | -0.12% | |
| Received Wagner-Peyser Act Services | -0.0078 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | -0.78% | -0.78% | 0.00% | |
| Limited English Proficiency | 0.0394 | 0.0742 | 0.0730 | 0.29% | 0.29% | 0.00% | |
| Single Parent | 0.0409 | 0.2797 | 0.0308 | 1.14% | 0.13% | -1.02% | |
| Low Income | -0.0399 | 0.9028 | 0.1731 | -3.60% | -0.69% | 2.91% | |
| TANF Recipient | -0.0277 | 0.0722 | 0.0478 | -0.20% | -0.13% | 0.07% | |
| Other Public Assistance Recipient | -0.0049 | 0.6268 | 0.0610 | -0.31% | -0.03% | 0.28% | |
| Homeless | 0.0039 | 0.0531 | 0.0427 | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.00% | |
| Individual who was Incarcerated | -0.0368 | 0.1323 | 0.0684 | -0.49% | -0.25% | 0.23% | |
| UI Claimant | 0.0421 | 0.2489 | 0.0577 | 1.05% | 0.24% | -0.80% | |
| UI Exhaustee | -0.0564 | 0.0007 | 0.0000 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | |
| Supportive Services Recipient | 0.0305 | 0.2797 | 0.1328 | 0.85% | 0.40% | -0.45% | |
| Received Needs-related Payments | -0.0802 | 0.0017 | 0.0007 | -0.01% | -0.01% | 0.01% | |
| Received Individualized Career Services | 0.0315 | 0.8991 | 0.1355 | 2.83% | 0.43% | -2.40% | |
| Received Training | 0.0502 | 0.5038 | 0.0472 | 2.53% | 0.24% | -2.29% | |
| Established Individual Training Account | 0.0110 | 0.2746 | 0.0318 | 0.30% | 0.03% | -0.27% | |
| Pell Grant Recipient | 0.0386 | 0.0809 | 0.0084 | 0.31% | 0.03% | -0.28% | |
| Received Pre-vocational Services | -0.0065 | 0.0695 | 0.1105 | -0.05% | -0.07% | -0.03% | |
| Days in Program | 0.0000 | 290.4474 | 46.9202 | -1.16% | -0.19% | 0.97% | |
| Educational Status at Program Entry | -0.0121 | 0.0003 | 0.0498 | 0.00% | -0.06% | -0.06% | |
| Employment Status at Program Entry | 0.0909 | 0.1624 | 0.0895 | 1.48% | 0.81% | -0.66% | |
| Received Wages 2 Quarters Prior to Participation | 0.0512 | 0.5015 | 0.8394 | 2.57% | 4.30% | 1.73% | |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | -0.8813 | 0.0336 | 0.0324 | -2.96% | -2.86% | 0.10% |
| Construction Employment | -0.1546 | 0.0525 | 0.0596 | -0.81% | -0.92% | -0.11% | |
| Manufacturing Employment | -0.1405 | 0.0965 | 0.0886 | -1.36% | -1.24% | 0.11% | |
| Information Services Employment | -0.4581 | 0.0379 | 0.0409 | -1.74% | -1.87% | -0.14% | |
| Financial Services Employment | -4.0672 | 0.0456 | 0.0447 | -18.56% | -18.18% | 0.38% | |
| Professional and Business Services Employment | 1.6411 | 0.1238 | 0.1251 | 20.31% | 20.53% | 0.22% | |
| Educational or Health Care Employment | -0.9026 | 0.2254 | 0.2246 | -20.34% | -20.27% | 0.07% | |
| Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | 0.8564 | 0.1051 | 0.1068 | 9.00% | 9.14% | 0.15% | |
| Other Services Employment | -0.6621 | 0.0297 | 0.0295 | -1.96% | -1.95% | 0.01% | |
| Public Administration | -0.5414 | 0.0508 | 0.0495 | -2.75% | -2.68% | 0.07% | |
| Unemployment Rate (Not Seasonally Adjusted) | -0.8649 | 0.0564 | 0.0445 | -4.87% | -3.85% | 1.03% |
Credential Attainment Rate
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2019 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2019 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| 63.98% | 52.60% | -11.38% |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Female | -0.0033 | 0.5336 | 0.5194 | -0.17% | -0.17% | 0.00% |
| Age 25 to 44 | -0.0136 | 0.5664 | 0.4929 | -0.77% | -0.67% | 0.10% | |
| Age 45 to 54 | -0.0550 | 0.1483 | 0.1586 | -0.82% | -0.87% | -0.06% | |
| Age 55 to 59 | 0.3368 | 0.0466 | 0.0718 | 1.57% | 2.42% | 0.85% | |
| Age 60 or more | 0.0930 | 0.0293 | 0.0680 | 0.27% | 0.63% | 0.36% | |
| Hispanic Ethnicity | -0.1788 | 0.1448 | 0.1520 | -2.59% | -2.72% | -0.13% | |
| Race: American Indian | 0.1049 | 0.0379 | 0.0359 | 0.40% | 0.38% | -0.02% | |
| Race: Asian | 0.1450 | 0.0491 | 0.0963 | 0.71% | 1.40% | 0.68% | |
| Race: Black | 0.1709 | 0.1371 | 0.1161 | 2.34% | 1.99% | -0.36% | |
| Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | 0.0370 | 0.0164 | 0.0246 | 0.06% | 0.09% | 0.03% | |
| Race: Multiple | -0.0901 | 0.0328 | 0.0434 | -0.30% | -0.39% | -0.10% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Less than High School Graduate | -0.1381 | 0.0672 | 0.1501 | -0.93% | -2.07% | -1.15% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | 0.0565 | 0.5026 | 0.3569 | 2.84% | 2.02% | -0.82% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Some College | 0.0332 | 0.2310 | 0.2059 | 0.77% | 0.68% | -0.08% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Certificate or Other Post-Secondary Degree | 0.2153 | 0.0069 | 0.0283 | 0.15% | 0.61% | 0.46% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Associate Degree | -0.1918 | 0.1017 | 0.0925 | -1.95% | -1.77% | 0.18% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Bachelor Degree | -0.0350 | 0.0707 | 0.1350 | -0.25% | -0.47% | -0.23% | |
| Individual with a Disability | 0.3018 | 0.0595 | 0.0793 | 1.80% | 2.39% | 0.60% | |
| Veteran | -0.2762 | 0.0767 | 0.0510 | -2.12% | -1.41% | 0.71% | |
| Received Wagner-Peyser Act Services | -0.0542 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | -5.42% | -5.42% | 0.00% | |
| Limited English Proficiency | -0.1673 | 0.0483 | 0.1058 | -0.81% | -1.77% | -0.96% | |
| Single Parent | 0.0823 | 0.3129 | 0.1275 | 2.57% | 1.05% | -1.53% | |
| Low Income | 0.0664 | 0.9086 | 0.3503 | 6.03% | 2.33% | -3.71% | |
| TANF Recipient | -0.1205 | 0.0707 | 0.0529 | -0.85% | -0.64% | 0.21% | |
| Other Public Assistance Recipient | -0.1029 | 0.6267 | 0.4070 | -6.45% | -4.19% | 2.26% | |
| Homeless | -0.0856 | 0.0440 | 0.0529 | -0.38% | -0.45% | -0.08% | |
| Individual who was Incarcerated | -0.1568 | 0.1388 | 0.0888 | -2.18% | -1.39% | 0.78% | |
| UI Claimant | 0.0564 | 0.2147 | 0.0793 | 1.21% | 0.45% | -0.76% | |
| UI Exhaustee | 0.2465 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | |
| Supportive Services Recipient | -0.0373 | 0.1664 | 0.5675 | -0.62% | -2.12% | -1.50% | |
| Received Needs-related Payments | -0.4270 | 0.0017 | 0.0028 | -0.07% | -0.12% | -0.05% | |
| Received Individualized Career Services | 0.1363 | 0.9500 | 0.7932 | 12.95% | 10.81% | -2.14% | |
| Established Individual Training Account | 0.0425 | 0.2733 | 0.7092 | 1.16% | 3.02% | 1.85% | |
| Pell Grant Recipient | 0.2274 | 0.1284 | 0.0850 | 2.92% | 1.93% | -0.99% | |
| Received Pre-vocational Services | 0.0188 | 0.0379 | 0.1558 | 0.07% | 0.29% | 0.22% | |
| Days in Program | -0.0002 | 304.5129 | 287.6591 | -5.54% | -5.23% | 0.31% | |
| Educational Status at Program Entry | -0.1492 | 0.0009 | 0.2512 | -0.01% | -3.75% | -3.73% | |
| Employment Status at Program Entry | -0.0902 | 0.2112 | 0.2021 | -1.90% | -1.82% | 0.08% | |
| Received Wages 2 Quarters Prior to Participation | -0.0047 | 0.5319 | 0.6931 | -0.25% | -0.33% | -0.08% | |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | 2.7261 | 0.0332 | 0.0324 | 9.06% | 8.84% | -0.22% |
| Construction Employment | 1.0411 | 0.0540 | 0.0596 | 5.62% | 6.20% | 0.58% | |
| Manufacturing Employment | 0.2112 | 0.0945 | 0.0886 | 2.00% | 1.87% | -0.13% | |
| Information Services Employment | -15.0444 | 0.0387 | 0.0409 | -58.21% | -61.50% | -3.28% | |
| Financial Services Employment | 11.5870 | 0.0451 | 0.0447 | 52.27% | 51.80% | -0.47% | |
| Professional and Business Services Employment | -1.1148 | 0.1247 | 0.1251 | -13.90% | -13.95% | -0.05% | |
| Educational or Health Care Employment | -0.4465 | 0.2254 | 0.2246 | -10.07% | -10.03% | 0.04% | |
| Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | -0.5443 | 0.1059 | 0.1068 | -5.76% | -5.81% | -0.05% | |
| Other Services Employment | -4.8254 | 0.0297 | 0.0295 | -14.31% | -14.24% | 0.07% | |
| Public Administration | 0.0466 | 0.0505 | 0.0495 | 0.24% | 0.23% | 0.00% | |
| Unemployment Rate (Not Seasonally Adjusted) | -0.8077 | 0.0555 | 0.0445 | -4.48% | -3.59% | 0.89% |
Dislocated Worker
This is an overview of the assessment of PY 2019 WIOA performance results for Washington in the Dislocated Worker program. The figure shows the relationship between the negotiated, adjusted, and actual levels of performance. The data table shows the effects of each variable in the statistical adjustment model.
Results
These figures show details for each of the performance indicators in this program.
- The negotiated level of performance is the agreed upon target level of performance for PY 2019 prior to the start of PY 2019.
- The adjusted level of performance is the result of re-calculating the negotiated level of performance once PY 2019 ends. It is calculated using model estimates, data on actual program participants in PY 2019, and data on actual economic conditions in which the participants were served.
- The adjustment factor is the total amount that the original negotiated level was adjusted.
- The actual level of performance shows the actual reported performance results for the indicator and includes the individual indicator score (i.e., the actual level divided by the adjusted level).
Model Data Tables
For each indicator, the tables below show the estimates for each of the variables in the statistical adjustment model and the related actual data. This data is used to determine the adjusted level of performance. The definitions of the table columns are as follows:
- Coefficient - the effect (or weight) of the variable.
- PY Prior - the actual data for each variable for this state in the last PY prior to negotiations.
- PY Actual - the actual data for each variable for this state in PY 2019.
- Estimate0 - the amount the variable contributed to the pre-PY 2019 predicted target for this indicator as used as a factor in negotiations. It is calculated by multiplying the Coefficient by the PY Prior.
- Estimate1 - the amount the variable contributed to the post-PY 2019 predicted target for this indicator using actual PY 2019 data. It is calculated by multiplying the Coefficient by the PY Actual.
- Adjustment - the amount the variable contributed to the adjustment factor for the indicator. It is calculated by subtracting Estimate0 from Estimate1.
Performance Indicator:
Employment Rate 2nd Quarter after Exit
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2019 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2019 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| 81.36% | 76.11% | -5.25% |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Female | 0.0095 | 0.4522 | 0.4333 | 0.43% | 0.41% | -0.02% |
| Age 25 to 44 | -0.0189 | 0.3959 | 0.4491 | -0.75% | -0.85% | -0.10% | |
| Age 45 to 54 | 0.1397 | 0.3142 | 0.2372 | 4.39% | 3.31% | -1.08% | |
| Age 55 to 59 | -0.0111 | 0.1491 | 0.1240 | -0.17% | -0.14% | 0.03% | |
| Age 60 or more | -0.3485 | 0.1082 | 0.1257 | -3.77% | -4.38% | -0.61% | |
| Hispanic Ethnicity | 0.1108 | 0.0866 | 0.0907 | 0.96% | 1.01% | 0.05% | |
| Race: American Indian | -0.0005 | 0.0265 | 0.0306 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | |
| Race: Asian | 0.1534 | 0.0698 | 0.0907 | 1.07% | 1.39% | 0.32% | |
| Race: Black | 0.0040 | 0.0772 | 0.0566 | 0.03% | 0.02% | -0.01% | |
| Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | 0.1247 | 0.0119 | 0.0171 | 0.15% | 0.21% | 0.06% | |
| Race: Multiple | -0.1064 | 0.0213 | 0.0339 | -0.23% | -0.36% | -0.13% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Less than High School Graduate | -0.0445 | 0.0307 | 0.0474 | -0.14% | -0.21% | -0.07% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | 0.0357 | 0.3446 | 0.2986 | 1.23% | 1.07% | -0.16% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Some College | 0.1349 | 0.2116 | 0.2182 | 2.85% | 2.94% | 0.09% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Certificate or Other Post-Secondary Degree | 0.1339 | 0.0133 | 0.0398 | 0.18% | 0.53% | 0.36% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Associate Degree | 0.2096 | 0.1372 | 0.1235 | 2.88% | 2.59% | -0.29% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Bachelor Degree | 0.0285 | 0.1948 | 0.2040 | 0.55% | 0.58% | 0.03% | |
| Individual with a Disability | -0.1860 | 0.0597 | 0.0767 | -1.11% | -1.43% | -0.32% | |
| Veteran | 0.1695 | 0.1281 | 0.1038 | 2.17% | 1.76% | -0.41% | |
| Received Wagner-Peyser Act Services | -0.0070 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | -0.70% | -0.70% | 0.00% | |
| Limited English Proficiency | -0.0053 | 0.0196 | 0.0603 | -0.01% | -0.03% | -0.02% | |
| Single Parent | -0.1584 | 0.1341 | 0.0350 | -2.12% | -0.55% | 1.57% | |
| Low Income | -0.0109 | 0.0080 | 0.1380 | -0.01% | -0.15% | -0.14% | |
| TANF Recipient | 0.1023 | 0.0007 | 0.0107 | 0.01% | 0.11% | 0.10% | |
| Other Public Assistance Recipient | -0.3013 | 0.0042 | 0.0737 | -0.13% | -2.22% | -2.09% | |
| Homeless | 0.7492 | 0.0000 | 0.0234 | 0.00% | 1.75% | 1.75% | |
| Individual who was Incarcerated | -0.0208 | 0.0007 | 0.0483 | 0.00% | -0.10% | -0.10% | |
| UI Claimant | 0.0285 | 0.7535 | 0.0660 | 2.15% | 0.19% | -1.96% | |
| UI Exhaustee | 0.0136 | 0.0010 | 0.0000 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | |
| Supportive Services Recipient | 0.0616 | 0.1302 | 0.2315 | 0.80% | 1.43% | 0.62% | |
| Received Needs-related Payments | -0.0514 | 0.0436 | 0.0002 | -0.22% | 0.00% | 0.22% | |
| Received Individualized Career Services | 0.0466 | 0.9801 | 0.5083 | 4.57% | 2.37% | -2.20% | |
| Received Training | 0.1088 | 0.5590 | 0.2637 | 6.08% | 2.87% | -3.21% | |
| Established Individual Training Account | -0.0382 | 0.2346 | 0.2099 | -0.90% | -0.80% | 0.09% | |
| Pell Grant Recipient | 0.0357 | 0.0360 | 0.0127 | 0.13% | 0.05% | -0.08% | |
| Received Pre-vocational Services | 0.0067 | 0.0443 | 0.1585 | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.08% | |
| Days in Program | 0.0000 | 312.7242 | 161.3258 | -1.24% | -0.64% | 0.60% | |
| Educational Status at Program Entry | -0.0473 | 0.0000 | 0.0586 | 0.00% | -0.28% | -0.28% | |
| Employment Status at Program Entry | 0.0993 | 0.0534 | 0.1563 | 0.53% | 1.55% | 1.02% | |
| Received Wages 2 Quarters Prior to Participation | 0.0310 | 0.7291 | 0.8091 | 2.26% | 2.51% | 0.25% | |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | -1.1809 | 0.0334 | 0.0311 | -3.94% | -3.67% | 0.28% |
| Construction Employment | -1.7996 | 0.0533 | 0.0600 | -9.59% | -10.79% | -1.20% | |
| Manufacturing Employment | -0.3144 | 0.0954 | 0.0891 | -3.00% | -2.80% | 0.20% | |
| Information Services Employment | 0.2651 | 0.0385 | 0.0421 | 1.02% | 1.12% | 0.10% | |
| Financial Services Employment | -0.8274 | 0.0452 | 0.0446 | -3.74% | -3.69% | 0.05% | |
| Professional and Business Services Employment | 0.4000 | 0.1245 | 0.1252 | 4.98% | 5.01% | 0.03% | |
| Educational or Health Care Employment | -1.2518 | 0.2254 | 0.2245 | -28.21% | -28.11% | 0.11% | |
| Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | -1.6073 | 0.1056 | 0.1068 | -16.98% | -17.16% | -0.18% | |
| Other Services Employment | -1.2718 | 0.0297 | 0.0299 | -3.77% | -3.80% | -0.02% | |
| Public Administration | -0.6134 | 0.0506 | 0.0495 | -3.10% | -3.04% | 0.06% | |
| Unemployment Rate (Not Seasonally Adjusted) | -1.2019 | 0.0558 | 0.0443 | -6.70% | -5.32% | 1.38% |
Median Earnings 2nd Quarter after Exit
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2019 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2019 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| $8,568.75 | $8,622.68 | $53.93 |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Female | -1892.9358 | 0.4527 | 0.4228 | -$856.87 | -$800.27 | $56.60 |
| Age 25 to 44 | 721.5125 | 0.4240 | 0.4578 | $305.89 | $330.34 | $24.45 | |
| Age 45 to 54 | -26.3600 | 0.3172 | 0.2471 | -$8.36 | -$6.51 | $1.85 | |
| Age 55 to 59 | 918.5044 | 0.1480 | 0.1283 | $135.98 | $117.85 | -$18.13 | |
| Age 60 or more | -2721.4519 | 0.0745 | 0.1025 | -$202.67 | -$278.84 | -$76.17 | |
| Hispanic Ethnicity | -1401.1614 | 0.0897 | 0.0966 | -$125.72 | -$135.37 | -$9.65 | |
| Race: American Indian | -958.4143 | 0.0260 | 0.0317 | -$24.94 | -$30.37 | -$5.44 | |
| Race: Asian | 1577.9858 | 0.0731 | 0.0905 | $115.39 | $142.75 | $27.35 | |
| Race: Black | -2238.4321 | 0.0758 | 0.0545 | -$169.72 | -$121.91 | $47.81 | |
| Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | -160.4776 | 0.0126 | 0.0185 | -$2.02 | -$2.96 | -$0.95 | |
| Race: Multiple | 1711.6501 | 0.0215 | 0.0360 | $36.86 | $61.62 | $24.76 | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Less than High School Graduate | -142.6141 | 0.0314 | 0.0477 | -$4.48 | -$6.80 | -$2.32 | |
| Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | -535.0382 | 0.3459 | 0.3105 | -$185.07 | -$166.11 | $18.96 | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Some College | 1901.3011 | 0.2140 | 0.2145 | $406.87 | $407.76 | $0.88 | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Certificate or Other Post-Secondary Degree | 3365.8940 | 0.0126 | 0.0397 | $42.28 | $133.60 | $91.32 | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Associate Degree | 1235.8310 | 0.1382 | 0.1194 | $170.77 | $147.54 | -$23.23 | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Bachelor Degree | 979.2899 | 0.1943 | 0.2025 | $190.23 | $198.27 | $8.03 | |
| Individual with a Disability | -646.1180 | 0.0493 | 0.0640 | -$31.89 | -$41.35 | -$9.47 | |
| Veteran | 2650.5717 | 0.1175 | 0.0892 | $311.55 | $236.51 | -$75.04 | |
| Received Wagner-Peyser Act Services | -17.4967 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | -$17.50 | -$17.50 | $0.00 | |
| Limited English Proficiency | -1152.4655 | 0.0193 | 0.0566 | -$22.23 | -$65.25 | -$43.01 | |
| Single Parent | 127.2322 | 0.1458 | 0.0385 | $18.55 | $4.89 | -$13.66 | |
| Low Income | -119.7726 | 0.0076 | 0.1323 | -$0.91 | -$15.85 | -$14.93 | |
| TANF Recipient | -10898.8912 | 0.0009 | 0.0102 | -$9.78 | -$110.67 | -$100.89 | |
| Other Public Assistance Recipient | -2363.4211 | 0.0045 | 0.0772 | -$10.60 | -$182.53 | -$171.93 | |
| Homeless | -2707.6887 | 0.0000 | 0.0225 | $0.00 | -$60.82 | -$60.82 | |
| Individual who was Incarcerated | -737.9150 | 0.0004 | 0.0486 | -$0.33 | -$35.87 | -$35.54 | |
| UI Claimant | -399.8546 | 0.7555 | 0.0865 | -$302.09 | -$34.57 | $267.52 | |
| UI Exhaustee | -649.4207 | 0.0004 | 0.0000 | -$0.29 | $0.00 | $0.29 | |
| Supportive Services Recipient | -0.2114 | 0.1274 | 0.2412 | -$0.03 | -$0.05 | -$0.02 | |
| Received Needs-related Payments | -705.0717 | 0.0440 | 0.0003 | -$31.00 | -$0.22 | $30.78 | |
| Received Individualized Career Services | 527.9422 | 0.9798 | 0.5302 | $517.28 | $279.89 | -$237.39 | |
| Received Training | 643.3410 | 0.5621 | 0.2942 | $361.64 | $189.24 | -$172.40 | |
| Established Individual Training Account | -21.2564 | 0.2490 | 0.2345 | -$5.29 | -$4.98 | $0.31 | |
| Pell Grant Recipient | -179.3087 | 0.0395 | 0.0123 | -$7.08 | -$2.21 | $4.87 | |
| Received Pre-vocational Services | 38.7401 | 0.0467 | 0.1665 | $1.81 | $6.45 | $4.64 | |
| Days in Program | -0.2712 | 300.8165 | 167.9323 | -$81.59 | -$45.55 | $36.04 | |
| Educational Status at Program Entry | 279.0126 | 0.0000 | 0.0591 | $0.00 | $16.48 | $16.48 | |
| Employment Status at Program Entry | -183.6098 | 0.0583 | 0.1883 | -$10.71 | -$34.58 | -$23.87 | |
| Received Wages 2 Quarters Prior to Participation | -1293.5201 | 0.7519 | 0.8391 | -$972.61 | -$1,085.36 | -$112.76 | |
| Wages 1 Quarter Prior to Participation | 0.1902 | 6845.1602 | 10735.5000 | $1,301.63 | $2,041.38 | $739.76 | |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | 66373.0030 | 0.0334 | 0.0311 | $2,216.00 | $2,060.93 | -$155.07 |
| Construction Employment | 16321.2787 | 0.0533 | 0.0600 | $869.79 | $978.78 | $108.99 | |
| Manufacturing Employment | 19407.4177 | 0.0954 | 0.0891 | $1,851.85 | $1,728.47 | -$123.38 | |
| Information Services Employment | -19066.2171 | 0.0385 | 0.0421 | -$733.35 | -$802.17 | -$68.82 | |
| Financial Services Employment | -551.0605 | 0.0452 | 0.0446 | -$24.92 | -$24.55 | $0.37 | |
| Professional and Business Services Employment | 42898.0654 | 0.1245 | 0.1252 | $5,340.26 | $5,372.35 | $32.09 | |
| Educational or Health Care Employment | 32458.5897 | 0.2254 | 0.2245 | $7,315.31 | $7,288.01 | -$27.30 | |
| Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | 5511.1592 | 0.1056 | 0.1068 | $582.23 | $588.51 | $6.28 | |
| Other Services Employment | 30251.6114 | 0.0297 | 0.0299 | $897.57 | $903.17 | $5.60 | |
| Public Administration | 14577.0373 | 0.0506 | 0.0495 | $736.95 | $721.96 | -$15.00 | |
| Unemployment Rate (Not Seasonally Adjusted) | -8277.2577 | 0.0558 | 0.0443 | -$461.58 | -$366.49 | $95.09 |
Employment Rate 4th Quarter after Exit
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2019 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2019 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| 79.59% | 75.49% | -4.09% |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Female | -0.0365 | 0.4263 | 0.4170 | -1.56% | -1.52% | 0.03% |
| Age 25 to 44 | 0.0096 | 0.4242 | 0.4420 | 0.41% | 0.42% | 0.02% | |
| Age 45 to 54 | 0.1291 | 0.3166 | 0.2540 | 4.09% | 3.28% | -0.81% | |
| Age 55 to 59 | -0.0184 | 0.1295 | 0.1291 | -0.24% | -0.24% | 0.00% | |
| Age 60 or more | -0.4869 | 0.0949 | 0.1231 | -4.62% | -5.99% | -1.37% | |
| Hispanic Ethnicity | -0.0360 | 0.0763 | 0.0885 | -0.27% | -0.32% | -0.04% | |
| Race: American Indian | 0.0143 | 0.0276 | 0.0280 | 0.04% | 0.04% | 0.00% | |
| Race: Asian | 0.2221 | 0.0673 | 0.0893 | 1.49% | 1.98% | 0.49% | |
| Race: Black | -0.0276 | 0.0754 | 0.0512 | -0.21% | -0.14% | 0.07% | |
| Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | -0.0383 | 0.0102 | 0.0195 | -0.04% | -0.07% | -0.04% | |
| Race: Multiple | 0.0466 | 0.0216 | 0.0306 | 0.10% | 0.14% | 0.04% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Less than High School Graduate | -0.0795 | 0.0312 | 0.0428 | -0.25% | -0.34% | -0.09% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | 0.0451 | 0.3491 | 0.3016 | 1.57% | 1.36% | -0.21% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Some College | 0.1110 | 0.2466 | 0.2160 | 2.74% | 2.40% | -0.34% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Certificate or Other Post-Secondary Degree | 0.1298 | 0.0111 | 0.0391 | 0.14% | 0.51% | 0.36% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Associate Degree | 0.1734 | 0.1292 | 0.1215 | 2.24% | 2.11% | -0.13% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Bachelor Degree | 0.0847 | 0.1733 | 0.2033 | 1.47% | 1.72% | 0.25% | |
| Individual with a Disability | -0.0984 | 0.0514 | 0.0829 | -0.51% | -0.82% | -0.31% | |
| Veteran | 0.0948 | 0.1652 | 0.1170 | 1.57% | 1.11% | -0.46% | |
| Received Wagner-Peyser Act Services | -0.0065 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | -0.65% | -0.65% | 0.00% | |
| Limited English Proficiency | 0.0433 | 0.0195 | 0.0594 | 0.08% | 0.26% | 0.17% | |
| Single Parent | -0.0888 | 0.1382 | 0.0415 | -1.23% | -0.37% | 0.86% | |
| Low Income | 0.0127 | 0.0078 | 0.1405 | 0.01% | 0.18% | 0.17% | |
| TANF Recipient | 0.0368 | 0.0003 | 0.0111 | 0.00% | 0.04% | 0.04% | |
| Other Public Assistance Recipient | -0.0819 | 0.0051 | 0.0932 | -0.04% | -0.76% | -0.72% | |
| Homeless | 0.7282 | 0.0000 | 0.0209 | 0.00% | 1.52% | 1.52% | |
| Individual who was Incarcerated | -0.3810 | 0.0006 | 0.0383 | -0.02% | -1.46% | -1.44% | |
| UI Claimant | 0.0410 | 0.7672 | 0.1017 | 3.15% | 0.42% | -2.73% | |
| UI Exhaustee | 0.0330 | 0.0003 | 0.0000 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | |
| Supportive Services Recipient | 0.0660 | 0.1941 | 0.3105 | 1.28% | 2.05% | 0.77% | |
| Received Needs-related Payments | -0.0163 | 0.0409 | 0.0008 | -0.07% | 0.00% | 0.07% | |
| Received Individualized Career Services | 0.0337 | 0.9736 | 0.6010 | 3.28% | 2.03% | -1.26% | |
| Received Training | 0.0446 | 0.5746 | 0.3361 | 2.56% | 1.50% | -1.06% | |
| Established Individual Training Account | -0.0176 | 0.3620 | 0.2593 | -0.64% | -0.46% | 0.18% | |
| Pell Grant Recipient | 0.0245 | 0.0388 | 0.0166 | 0.10% | 0.04% | -0.05% | |
| Received Pre-vocational Services | 0.0024 | 0.0661 | 0.1640 | 0.02% | 0.04% | 0.02% | |
| Days in Program | -0.0001 | 345.9216 | 195.0681 | -1.92% | -1.08% | 0.84% | |
| Educational Status at Program Entry | -0.0610 | 0.0000 | 0.0716 | 0.00% | -0.44% | -0.44% | |
| Employment Status at Program Entry | 0.0298 | 0.0451 | 0.1563 | 0.13% | 0.47% | 0.33% | |
| Received Wages 2 Quarters Prior to Participation | 0.0159 | 0.7372 | 0.8064 | 1.18% | 1.29% | 0.11% | |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | -0.2659 | 0.0336 | 0.0324 | -0.89% | -0.86% | 0.03% |
| Construction Employment | -0.0736 | 0.0525 | 0.0596 | -0.39% | -0.44% | -0.05% | |
| Manufacturing Employment | 0.3999 | 0.0965 | 0.0886 | 3.86% | 3.54% | -0.32% | |
| Information Services Employment | 0.6111 | 0.0379 | 0.0409 | 2.32% | 2.50% | 0.18% | |
| Financial Services Employment | -2.5910 | 0.0456 | 0.0447 | -11.82% | -11.58% | 0.24% | |
| Professional and Business Services Employment | 2.0847 | 0.1238 | 0.1251 | 25.80% | 26.09% | 0.28% | |
| Educational or Health Care Employment | -0.9888 | 0.2254 | 0.2246 | -22.29% | -22.21% | 0.08% | |
| Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | -0.1386 | 0.1051 | 0.1068 | -1.46% | -1.48% | -0.02% | |
| Other Services Employment | 0.2973 | 0.0297 | 0.0295 | 0.88% | 0.88% | 0.00% | |
| Public Administration | -1.1622 | 0.0508 | 0.0495 | -5.91% | -5.75% | 0.15% | |
| Unemployment Rate (Not Seasonally Adjusted) | -0.4212 | 0.0564 | 0.0445 | -2.37% | -1.87% | 0.50% |
Credential Attainment Rate
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2019 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2019 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| 61.41% | 51.05% | -10.36% |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Female | -0.0707 | 0.4474 | 0.3585 | -3.16% | -2.53% | 0.63% |
| Age 25 to 44 | -0.0329 | 0.4338 | 0.4654 | -1.43% | -1.53% | -0.10% | |
| Age 45 to 54 | 0.0388 | 0.3118 | 0.2734 | 1.21% | 1.06% | -0.15% | |
| Age 55 to 59 | 0.0623 | 0.1291 | 0.1104 | 0.80% | 0.69% | -0.12% | |
| Age 60 or more | 0.1502 | 0.0801 | 0.0841 | 1.20% | 1.26% | 0.06% | |
| Hispanic Ethnicity | -0.0564 | 0.0923 | 0.1402 | -0.52% | -0.79% | -0.27% | |
| Race: American Indian | -0.3371 | 0.0271 | 0.0351 | -0.91% | -1.18% | -0.27% | |
| Race: Asian | 0.1637 | 0.0600 | 0.1148 | 0.98% | 1.88% | 0.90% | |
| Race: Black | 0.1022 | 0.0678 | 0.0526 | 0.69% | 0.54% | -0.16% | |
| Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | 0.1733 | 0.0077 | 0.0228 | 0.13% | 0.39% | 0.26% | |
| Race: Multiple | -0.1155 | 0.0181 | 0.0386 | -0.21% | -0.45% | -0.24% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Less than High School Graduate | -0.1788 | 0.0297 | 0.0412 | -0.53% | -0.74% | -0.21% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | 0.0720 | 0.3964 | 0.3269 | 2.86% | 2.36% | -0.50% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Some College | 0.0869 | 0.2176 | 0.2463 | 1.89% | 2.14% | 0.25% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Certificate or Other Post-Secondary Degree | 0.2221 | 0.0110 | 0.0272 | 0.24% | 0.60% | 0.36% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Associate Degree | -0.0083 | 0.1394 | 0.1025 | -0.12% | -0.08% | 0.03% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Bachelor Degree | 0.0864 | 0.1595 | 0.1946 | 1.38% | 1.68% | 0.30% | |
| Individual with a Disability | -0.0539 | 0.0575 | 0.0657 | -0.31% | -0.35% | -0.04% | |
| Veteran | -0.2284 | 0.1214 | 0.0973 | -2.77% | -2.22% | 0.55% | |
| Received Wagner-Peyser Act Services | -0.0417 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | -4.17% | -4.17% | 0.00% | |
| Limited English Proficiency | -0.4402 | 0.0142 | 0.0561 | -0.63% | -2.47% | -1.84% | |
| Single Parent | -0.0687 | 0.1440 | 0.0570 | -0.99% | -0.39% | 0.60% | |
| Low Income | -0.0463 | 0.0148 | 0.1534 | -0.07% | -0.71% | -0.64% | |
| TANF Recipient | 0.4132 | 0.0006 | 0.0088 | 0.03% | 0.36% | 0.34% | |
| Other Public Assistance Recipient | -0.3101 | 0.0071 | 0.1201 | -0.22% | -3.72% | -3.50% | |
| Homeless | 0.1414 | 0.0000 | 0.0158 | 0.00% | 0.22% | 0.22% | |
| Individual who was Incarcerated | -0.3307 | 0.0013 | 0.0456 | -0.04% | -1.51% | -1.46% | |
| UI Claimant | -0.0041 | 0.7450 | 0.1788 | -0.30% | -0.07% | 0.23% | |
| UI Exhaustee | 0.2844 | 0.0006 | 0.0000 | 0.02% | 0.00% | -0.02% | |
| Supportive Services Recipient | 0.0004 | 0.1517 | 0.5110 | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.01% | |
| Received Needs-related Payments | -0.3258 | 0.0581 | 0.0026 | -1.89% | -0.09% | 1.81% | |
| Received Individualized Career Services | 0.0796 | 0.9877 | 0.8519 | 7.87% | 6.78% | -1.08% | |
| Established Individual Training Account | 0.0302 | 0.3376 | 0.8571 | 1.02% | 2.59% | 1.57% | |
| Pell Grant Recipient | 0.2791 | 0.0658 | 0.0403 | 1.84% | 1.13% | -0.71% | |
| Received Pre-vocational Services | 0.0007 | 0.0362 | 0.1691 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 0.01% | |
| Days in Program | 0.0000 | 407.1620 | 375.7783 | -0.83% | -0.77% | 0.06% | |
| Educational Status at Program Entry | -0.1164 | 0.0000 | 0.1236 | 0.00% | -1.44% | -1.44% | |
| Employment Status at Program Entry | -0.4389 | 0.0555 | 0.1218 | -2.44% | -5.35% | -2.91% | |
| Received Wages 2 Quarters Prior to Participation | 0.0406 | 0.7172 | 0.7800 | 2.91% | 3.16% | 0.25% | |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | -1.2320 | 0.0332 | 0.0324 | -4.09% | -4.00% | 0.10% |
| Construction Employment | 0.0409 | 0.0540 | 0.0596 | 0.22% | 0.24% | 0.02% | |
| Manufacturing Employment | -1.0206 | 0.0945 | 0.0886 | -9.64% | -9.04% | 0.61% | |
| Information Services Employment | -18.9286 | 0.0387 | 0.0409 | -73.24% | -77.37% | -4.13% | |
| Financial Services Employment | 8.2221 | 0.0451 | 0.0447 | 37.09% | 36.76% | -0.33% | |
| Professional and Business Services Employment | -3.8837 | 0.1247 | 0.1251 | -48.41% | -48.59% | -0.18% | |
| Educational or Health Care Employment | -3.0069 | 0.2254 | 0.2246 | -67.78% | -67.54% | 0.24% | |
| Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | -3.5712 | 0.1059 | 0.1068 | -37.80% | -38.13% | -0.33% | |
| Other Services Employment | -5.4302 | 0.0297 | 0.0295 | -16.10% | -16.02% | 0.08% | |
| Public Administration | -2.8668 | 0.0505 | 0.0495 | -14.47% | -14.19% | 0.28% | |
| Unemployment Rate (Not Seasonally Adjusted) | -0.4631 | 0.0555 | 0.0445 | -2.57% | -2.06% | 0.51% |
Youth
This is an overview of the assessment of PY 2019 WIOA performance results for Washington in the Youth program. The figure shows the relationship between the negotiated, adjusted, and actual levels of performance. The data table shows the effects of each variable in the statistical adjustment model.
Results
These figures show details for each of the performance indicators in this program.
- The negotiated level of performance is the agreed upon target level of performance for PY 2019 prior to the start of PY 2019.
- The adjusted level of performance is the result of re-calculating the negotiated level of performance once PY 2019 ends. It is calculated using model estimates, data on actual program participants in PY 2019, and data on actual economic conditions in which the participants were served.
- The adjustment factor is the total amount that the original negotiated level was adjusted.
- The actual level of performance shows the actual reported performance results for the indicator and includes the individual indicator score (i.e., the actual level divided by the adjusted level).
Model Data Tables
For each indicator, the tables below show the estimates for each of the variables in the statistical adjustment model and the related actual data. This data is used to determine the adjusted level of performance. The definitions of the table columns are as follows:
- Coefficient - the effect (or weight) of the variable.
- PY Prior - the actual data for each variable for this state in the last PY prior to negotiations.
- PY Actual - the actual data for each variable for this state in PY 2019.
- Estimate0 - the amount the variable contributed to the pre-PY 2019 predicted target for this indicator as used as a factor in negotiations. It is calculated by multiplying the Coefficient by the PY Prior.
- Estimate1 - the amount the variable contributed to the post-PY 2019 predicted target for this indicator using actual PY 2019 data. It is calculated by multiplying the Coefficient by the PY Actual.
- Adjustment - the amount the variable contributed to the adjustment factor for the indicator. It is calculated by subtracting Estimate0 from Estimate1.
Performance Indicator:
Employment Rate 2nd Quarter after Exit
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2019 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2019 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| 68.13% | 68.54% | 0.41% |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Female | 0.0433 | 0.5326 | 0.4638 | 2.31% | 2.01% | -0.30% |
| Age 14 to 15 | -0.2860 | 0.0096 | 0.0025 | -0.28% | -0.07% | 0.20% | |
| Age 16 to 17 | 0.0370 | 0.3518 | 0.2541 | 1.30% | 0.94% | -0.36% | |
| Age 18 to 19 | 0.0456 | 0.2368 | 0.3550 | 1.08% | 1.62% | 0.54% | |
| Age 20 to 21 | 0.0412 | 0.2068 | 0.2102 | 0.85% | 0.87% | 0.01% | |
| Hispanic Ethnicity | -0.0450 | 0.2397 | 0.2386 | -1.08% | -1.07% | 0.00% | |
| Race: American Indian | -0.0741 | 0.1014 | 0.0779 | -0.75% | -0.58% | 0.17% | |
| Race: Asian | 0.3493 | 0.0397 | 0.0604 | 1.39% | 2.11% | 0.72% | |
| Race: Black | -0.2045 | 0.2017 | 0.1398 | -4.13% | -2.86% | 1.27% | |
| Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | -0.2505 | 0.0266 | 0.0389 | -0.67% | -0.98% | -0.31% | |
| Race: Multiple | 0.1690 | 0.0816 | 0.0829 | 1.38% | 1.40% | 0.02% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Less than High School Graduate | -0.0837 | 0.7581 | 0.6360 | -6.34% | -5.32% | 1.02% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | 0.0783 | 0.2261 | 0.3075 | 1.77% | 2.41% | 0.64% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Some College | 0.0931 | 0.0153 | 0.0364 | 0.14% | 0.34% | 0.20% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Certificate or Other Post-Secondary Degree | -0.3693 | 0.0000 | 0.0025 | 0.00% | -0.09% | -0.09% | |
| Individual with a Disability | 0.0316 | 0.1224 | 0.1638 | 0.39% | 0.52% | 0.13% | |
| Received Wagner-Peyser Act Services | 0.0010 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 0.10% | 0.10% | 0.00% | |
| Limited English Proficiency | 0.0584 | 0.0261 | 0.0709 | 0.15% | 0.41% | 0.26% | |
| Low Income | 0.0435 | 0.9688 | 0.3445 | 4.21% | 1.50% | -2.72% | |
| TANF Recipient | -0.0754 | 0.0453 | 0.0310 | -0.34% | -0.23% | 0.11% | |
| Other Public Assistance Recipient | -0.0343 | 0.5490 | 0.2566 | -1.88% | -0.88% | 1.00% | |
| Homeless | 0.0209 | 0.1666 | 0.1498 | 0.35% | 0.31% | -0.04% | |
| Individual who was Incarcerated | -0.1528 | 0.1246 | 0.1383 | -1.90% | -2.11% | -0.21% | |
| UI Claimant | 0.1014 | 0.0096 | 0.0055 | 0.10% | 0.06% | -0.04% | |
| UI Exhaustee | 0.1117 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | |
| Received Needs-related Payments | 0.0698 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | |
| Received Training | -0.0127 | 0.1371 | 0.2097 | -0.17% | -0.27% | -0.09% | |
| Pell Grant Recipient | -0.0289 | 0.0028 | 0.0030 | -0.01% | -0.01% | 0.00% | |
| Days in Program | 0.0001 | 367.6385 | 259.8098 | 4.28% | 3.02% | -1.25% | |
| Youth Parent or Pregnant Youth | 0.0041 | 0.1343 | 0.1333 | 0.05% | 0.05% | 0.00% | |
| Youth Needing Additional Assistance | -0.0053 | 0.8227 | 0.0954 | -0.44% | -0.05% | 0.39% | |
| Educational Status at Program Entry | 0.0599 | 0.3263 | 0.1488 | 1.95% | 0.89% | -1.06% | |
| Educational Status at Program Exit | -0.1355 | 0.1734 | 0.1473 | -2.35% | -2.00% | 0.35% | |
| Enrolled in Secondary Education Program | 0.0791 | 0.7377 | 0.6375 | 5.84% | 5.05% | -0.79% | |
| Skills/Literacy Deficient at Program Entry | 0.0280 | 0.5932 | 0.4139 | 1.66% | 1.16% | -0.50% | |
| Foster Care Youth | -0.1834 | 0.0266 | 0.0374 | -0.49% | -0.69% | -0.20% | |
| Received Youth Services: Education Achievement | 0.0203 | 0.7309 | 0.5297 | 1.48% | 1.07% | -0.41% | |
| Received Youth Services: Guidance / Counseling | -0.0108 | 0.5303 | 0.5876 | -0.57% | -0.64% | -0.06% | |
| Received Youth Supportive Services | 0.0194 | 0.5484 | 0.6306 | 1.07% | 1.22% | 0.16% | |
| Educational Functioning Level Pre-assessment Score | 0.0001 | 232.2878 | 232.2878 | 1.17% | 1.17% | 0.00% | |
| Educational Functioning Level Pre-assessment | 0.0008 | 0.7076 | 0.7076 | 0.06% | 0.06% | 0.00% | |
| Educational Functioning Level Post-participation Score | 0.0000 | 235.5464 | 235.5464 | -0.78% | -0.78% | 0.00% | |
| Out of School Youth | -0.0306 | 0.6720 | 0.8497 | -2.06% | -2.60% | -0.54% | |
| Employment Status at Program Entry | 0.1331 | 0.0714 | 0.1228 | 0.95% | 1.64% | 0.68% | |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | 1.2349 | 0.0332 | 0.0311 | 4.10% | 3.83% | -0.27% |
| Construction Employment | -0.7220 | 0.0540 | 0.0600 | -3.90% | -4.33% | -0.43% | |
| Manufacturing Employment | 1.0195 | 0.0945 | 0.0891 | 9.63% | 9.08% | -0.55% | |
| Information Services Employment | 2.9666 | 0.0387 | 0.0421 | 11.48% | 12.48% | 1.00% | |
| Financial Services Employment | 2.0785 | 0.0451 | 0.0446 | 9.38% | 9.26% | -0.12% | |
| Professional and Business Services Employment | 3.1365 | 0.1247 | 0.1252 | 39.10% | 39.28% | 0.18% | |
| Educational or Health Care Employment | 0.3811 | 0.2254 | 0.2245 | 8.59% | 8.56% | -0.03% | |
| Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | 2.2428 | 0.1059 | 0.1068 | 23.74% | 23.95% | 0.21% | |
| Other Services Employment | 1.2319 | 0.0297 | 0.0299 | 3.65% | 3.68% | 0.02% | |
| Public Administration | -1.3148 | 0.0505 | 0.0495 | -6.64% | -6.51% | 0.12% | |
| Unemployment Rate (Not Seasonally Adjusted) | -1.2168 | 0.0555 | 0.0443 | -6.75% | -5.39% | 1.36% |
Employment Rate 4th Quarter after Exit
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2019 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2019 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| 65.33% | 59.90% | -5.43% |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Female | 0.0400 | 0.5548 | 0.4852 | 2.22% | 1.94% | -0.28% |
| Age 14 to 15 | -0.2799 | 0.0230 | 0.0021 | -0.64% | -0.06% | 0.59% | |
| Age 16 to 17 | 0.0698 | 0.3610 | 0.2619 | 2.52% | 1.83% | -0.69% | |
| Age 18 to 19 | 0.0236 | 0.2434 | 0.3448 | 0.58% | 0.82% | 0.24% | |
| Age 20 to 21 | 0.0813 | 0.2013 | 0.2101 | 1.64% | 1.71% | 0.07% | |
| Hispanic Ethnicity | -0.0620 | 0.2208 | 0.2397 | -1.37% | -1.49% | -0.12% | |
| Race: American Indian | -0.0536 | 0.0791 | 0.0697 | -0.42% | -0.37% | 0.05% | |
| Race: Asian | 0.0786 | 0.0471 | 0.0718 | 0.37% | 0.56% | 0.19% | |
| Race: Black | -0.1343 | 0.1683 | 0.1526 | -2.26% | -2.05% | 0.21% | |
| Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | -0.0485 | 0.0220 | 0.0407 | -0.11% | -0.20% | -0.09% | |
| Race: Multiple | 0.0259 | 0.0701 | 0.0766 | 0.18% | 0.20% | 0.02% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Less than High School Graduate | -0.0507 | 0.7687 | 0.6573 | -3.90% | -3.33% | 0.56% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | 0.1573 | 0.2148 | 0.2930 | 3.38% | 4.61% | 1.23% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Some College | 0.1552 | 0.0155 | 0.0327 | 0.24% | 0.51% | 0.27% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Certificate or Other Post-Secondary Degree | -0.9654 | 0.0000 | 0.0048 | 0.00% | -0.46% | -0.46% | |
| Individual with a Disability | -0.0216 | 0.1292 | 0.1410 | -0.28% | -0.30% | -0.03% | |
| Received Wagner-Peyser Act Services | 0.0177 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.77% | 1.77% | 0.00% | |
| Limited English Proficiency | 0.0107 | 0.0391 | 0.0729 | 0.04% | 0.08% | 0.04% | |
| Low Income | 0.0283 | 0.9735 | 0.3305 | 2.75% | 0.94% | -1.82% | |
| TANF Recipient | -0.0637 | 0.0531 | 0.0333 | -0.34% | -0.21% | 0.13% | |
| Other Public Assistance Recipient | 0.0197 | 0.5473 | 0.2862 | 1.08% | 0.56% | -0.52% | |
| Homeless | 0.1821 | 0.1698 | 0.1415 | 3.09% | 2.58% | -0.51% | |
| Individual who was Incarcerated | -0.1240 | 0.1497 | 0.1257 | -1.86% | -1.56% | 0.30% | |
| UI Claimant | 0.1046 | 0.0135 | 0.0095 | 0.14% | 0.10% | -0.04% | |
| UI Exhaustee | -0.3047 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | |
| Received Needs-related Payments | 0.0064 | 0.0005 | 0.0000 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | |
| Received Training | 0.0375 | 0.1287 | 0.2302 | 0.48% | 0.86% | 0.38% | |
| Pell Grant Recipient | -0.0352 | 0.0070 | 0.0058 | -0.02% | -0.02% | 0.00% | |
| Days in Program | 0.0001 | 400.6395 | 260.5296 | 3.67% | 2.39% | -1.28% | |
| Youth Parent or Pregnant Youth | -0.0423 | 0.1317 | 0.1415 | -0.56% | -0.60% | -0.04% | |
| Youth Needing Additional Assistance | -0.0096 | 0.8613 | 0.1436 | -0.83% | -0.14% | 0.69% | |
| Educational Status at Program Entry | 0.0413 | 0.3916 | 0.1600 | 1.62% | 0.66% | -0.96% | |
| Educational Status at Program Exit | -0.0083 | 0.1878 | 0.1647 | -0.16% | -0.14% | 0.02% | |
| Enrolled in Secondary Education Program | 0.0383 | 0.7722 | 0.6357 | 2.96% | 2.44% | -0.52% | |
| Skills/Literacy Deficient at Program Entry | 0.0280 | 0.5588 | 0.3743 | 1.57% | 1.05% | -0.52% | |
| Foster Care Youth | -0.1847 | 0.0240 | 0.0348 | -0.44% | -0.64% | -0.20% | |
| Received Youth Services: Education Achievement | 0.0417 | 0.7672 | 0.5707 | 3.20% | 2.38% | -0.82% | |
| Received Youth Services: Guidance / Counseling | -0.0115 | 0.5368 | 0.5612 | -0.62% | -0.65% | -0.03% | |
| Received Youth Supportive Services | -0.0294 | 0.5593 | 0.5771 | -1.64% | -1.70% | -0.05% | |
| Educational Functioning Level Pre-assessment Score | -0.0001 | 232.2433 | 232.2433 | -1.43% | -1.43% | 0.00% | |
| Educational Functioning Level Pre-assessment | 0.0145 | 0.8225 | 0.8225 | 1.19% | 1.19% | 0.00% | |
| Educational Functioning Level Post-participation Score | -0.0001 | 235.8228 | 235.8228 | -2.36% | -2.36% | 0.00% | |
| Out of School Youth | -0.0533 | 0.6074 | 0.8390 | -3.24% | -4.47% | -1.23% | |
| Employment Status at Program Entry | 0.0293 | 0.0651 | 0.1220 | 0.19% | 0.36% | 0.17% | |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | -2.0135 | 0.0334 | 0.0324 | -6.73% | -6.53% | 0.20% |
| Construction Employment | -2.9894 | 0.0529 | 0.0596 | -15.80% | -17.81% | -2.01% | |
| Manufacturing Employment | -1.1960 | 0.0960 | 0.0886 | -11.49% | -10.59% | 0.90% | |
| Information Services Employment | -4.1201 | 0.0382 | 0.0409 | -15.73% | -16.84% | -1.11% | |
| Financial Services Employment | -0.8159 | 0.0454 | 0.0447 | -3.71% | -3.65% | 0.06% | |
| Professional and Business Services Employment | -0.4515 | 0.1242 | 0.1251 | -5.61% | -5.65% | -0.04% | |
| Educational or Health Care Employment | -2.9364 | 0.2254 | 0.2246 | -66.19% | -65.96% | 0.23% | |
| Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | -2.0495 | 0.1054 | 0.1068 | -21.60% | -21.88% | -0.28% | |
| Other Services Employment | -3.3580 | 0.0296 | 0.0295 | -9.95% | -9.91% | 0.05% | |
| Public Administration | -4.0383 | 0.0507 | 0.0495 | -20.47% | -19.99% | 0.47% | |
| Unemployment Rate (Not Seasonally Adjusted) | -1.0116 | 0.0560 | 0.0445 | -5.67% | -4.50% | 1.16% |
Credential Attainment Rate
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2019 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2019 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| 71.90% | 53.35% | -18.55% |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Female | 0.2025 | 0.5425 | 0.5274 | 10.99% | 10.68% | -0.31% |
| Age 14 to 15 | -0.4303 | 0.0118 | 0.0061 | -0.51% | -0.26% | 0.25% | |
| Age 16 to 17 | 0.0583 | 0.4025 | 0.2556 | 2.35% | 1.49% | -0.86% | |
| Age 18 to 19 | 0.0107 | 0.2263 | 0.3103 | 0.24% | 0.33% | 0.09% | |
| Age 20 to 21 | 0.0269 | 0.1727 | 0.2231 | 0.46% | 0.60% | 0.14% | |
| Hispanic Ethnicity | -0.1753 | 0.2451 | 0.2495 | -4.30% | -4.37% | -0.08% | |
| Race: American Indian | -0.1587 | 0.1003 | 0.0669 | -1.59% | -1.06% | 0.53% | |
| Race: Asian | 0.2621 | 0.0397 | 0.0609 | 1.04% | 1.59% | 0.55% | |
| Race: Black | -0.2498 | 0.2131 | 0.1866 | -5.32% | -4.66% | 0.66% | |
| Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | -0.2977 | 0.0258 | 0.0568 | -0.77% | -1.69% | -0.92% | |
| Race: Multiple | 0.1335 | 0.0822 | 0.0832 | 1.10% | 1.11% | 0.01% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Less than High School Graduate | 0.0079 | 0.8607 | 0.6187 | 0.68% | 0.49% | -0.19% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | -0.1342 | 0.1288 | 0.3408 | -1.73% | -4.57% | -2.84% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Some College | -0.2416 | 0.0104 | 0.0243 | -0.25% | -0.59% | -0.34% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Certificate or Other Post-Secondary Degree | -0.7927 | 0.0000 | 0.0041 | 0.00% | -0.32% | -0.32% | |
| Individual with a Disability | 0.0374 | 0.1205 | 0.1258 | 0.45% | 0.47% | 0.02% | |
| Received Wagner-Peyser Act Services | -0.0087 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | -0.87% | -0.87% | 0.00% | |
| Limited English Proficiency | -0.0290 | 0.0265 | 0.0913 | -0.08% | -0.26% | -0.19% | |
| Low Income | 0.0800 | 0.9645 | 0.3185 | 7.71% | 2.55% | -5.17% | |
| TANF Recipient | -0.0456 | 0.0508 | 0.0446 | -0.23% | -0.20% | 0.03% | |
| Other Public Assistance Recipient | -0.0309 | 0.5397 | 0.3347 | -1.67% | -1.04% | 0.63% | |
| Homeless | 0.0597 | 0.1469 | 0.1298 | 0.88% | 0.77% | -0.10% | |
| Individual who was Incarcerated | -0.2378 | 0.1114 | 0.1034 | -2.65% | -2.46% | 0.19% | |
| UI Claimant | -0.0234 | 0.0091 | 0.0203 | -0.02% | -0.05% | -0.03% | |
| UI Exhaustee | 0.0940 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | |
| Received Needs-related Payments | -0.0142 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | |
| Pell Grant Recipient | 0.0756 | 0.0035 | 0.0061 | 0.03% | 0.05% | 0.02% | |
| Days in Program | 0.0001 | 397.3558 | 243.9716 | 5.02% | 3.08% | -1.94% | |
| Youth Parent or Pregnant Youth | -0.0425 | 0.1260 | 0.2211 | -0.54% | -0.94% | -0.40% | |
| Youth Needing Additional Assistance | 0.0396 | 0.8203 | 0.0892 | 3.25% | 0.35% | -2.90% | |
| Educational Status at Program Entry | 0.0928 | 0.4011 | 0.2272 | 3.72% | 2.11% | -1.61% | |
| Educational Status at Program Exit | -0.2367 | 0.2131 | 0.2982 | -5.04% | -7.06% | -2.01% | |
| Enrolled in Secondary Education Program | 0.0292 | 0.9067 | 0.9919 | 2.65% | 2.89% | 0.25% | |
| Skills/Literacy Deficient at Program Entry | 0.0398 | 0.5850 | 0.3834 | 2.33% | 1.53% | -0.80% | |
| Foster Care Youth | -0.4223 | 0.0251 | 0.0365 | -1.06% | -1.54% | -0.48% | |
| Received Youth Services: Education Achievement | 0.0246 | 0.8426 | 0.3874 | 2.08% | 0.95% | -1.12% | |
| Received Youth Services: Guidance / Counseling | -0.0211 | 0.5327 | 0.5436 | -1.13% | -1.15% | -0.02% | |
| Received Youth Supportive Services | 0.0568 | 0.5585 | 0.6714 | 3.17% | 3.82% | 0.64% | |
| Educational Functioning Level Pre-assessment Score | 0.0001 | 233.4198 | 233.4198 | 2.64% | 2.64% | 0.00% | |
| Educational Functioning Level Pre-assessment | 0.0006 | 0.6411 | 0.6411 | 0.04% | 0.04% | 0.00% | |
| Educational Functioning Level Post-participation Score | 0.0000 | 236.2359 | 236.2359 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.00% | |
| Out of School Youth | -0.0486 | 0.5968 | 0.7728 | -2.90% | -3.75% | -0.86% | |
| Employment Status at Program Entry | -0.0035 | 0.0731 | 0.1521 | -0.03% | -0.05% | -0.03% | |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | 2.4358 | 0.0334 | 0.0324 | 8.14% | 7.90% | -0.24% |
| Construction Employment | -0.2579 | 0.0529 | 0.0596 | -1.36% | -1.54% | -0.17% | |
| Manufacturing Employment | -0.4019 | 0.0960 | 0.0886 | -3.86% | -3.56% | 0.30% | |
| Information Services Employment | 1.2232 | 0.0382 | 0.0409 | 4.67% | 5.00% | 0.33% | |
| Financial Services Employment | -0.2883 | 0.0454 | 0.0447 | -1.31% | -1.29% | 0.02% | |
| Professional and Business Services Employment | 2.8897 | 0.1242 | 0.1251 | 35.90% | 36.16% | 0.26% | |
| Educational or Health Care Employment | 0.3545 | 0.2254 | 0.2246 | 7.99% | 7.96% | -0.03% | |
| Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | 2.9153 | 0.1054 | 0.1068 | 30.73% | 31.13% | 0.40% | |
| Other Services Employment | -3.0008 | 0.0296 | 0.0295 | -8.89% | -8.85% | 0.04% | |
| Public Administration | -0.6433 | 0.0507 | 0.0495 | -3.26% | -3.19% | 0.08% | |
| Unemployment Rate (Not Seasonally Adjusted) | 0.0370 | 0.0560 | 0.0445 | 0.21% | 0.16% | -0.04% |
Wagner-Peyser
This is an overview of the assessment of PY 2019 WIOA performance results for Washington in the Wagner-Peyser program. The figure shows the relationship between the negotiated, adjusted, and actual levels of performance. The data table shows the effects of each variable in the statistical adjustment model.
Results
These figures show details for each of the performance indicators in this program.
- The negotiated level of performance is the agreed upon target level of performance for PY 2019 prior to the start of PY 2019.
- The adjusted level of performance is the result of re-calculating the negotiated level of performance once PY 2019 ends. It is calculated using model estimates, data on actual program participants in PY 2019, and data on actual economic conditions in which the participants were served.
- The adjustment factor is the total amount that the original negotiated level was adjusted.
- The actual level of performance shows the actual reported performance results for the indicator and includes the individual indicator score (i.e., the actual level divided by the adjusted level).
Model Data Tables
For each indicator, the tables below show the estimates for each of the variables in the statistical adjustment model and the related actual data. This data is used to determine the adjusted level of performance. The definitions of the table columns are as follows:
- Coefficient - the effect (or weight) of the variable.
- PY Prior - the actual data for each variable for this state in the last PY prior to negotiations.
- PY Actual - the actual data for each variable for this state in PY 2019.
- Estimate0 - the amount the variable contributed to the pre-PY 2019 predicted target for this indicator as used as a factor in negotiations. It is calculated by multiplying the Coefficient by the PY Prior.
- Estimate1 - the amount the variable contributed to the post-PY 2019 predicted target for this indicator using actual PY 2019 data. It is calculated by multiplying the Coefficient by the PY Actual.
- Adjustment - the amount the variable contributed to the adjustment factor for the indicator. It is calculated by subtracting Estimate0 from Estimate1.
Performance Indicator:
Employment Rate 2nd Quarter after Exit
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2019 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2019 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| 67.79% | 66.86% | -0.93% |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Female | -0.0751 | 0.4343 | 0.4412 | -3.26% | -3.31% | -0.05% |
| Age 25 to 44 | 0.0014 | 0.4455 | 0.4418 | 0.06% | 0.06% | 0.00% | |
| Age 45 to 54 | -0.3562 | 0.2134 | 0.2133 | -7.60% | -7.60% | 0.00% | |
| Age 55 to 59 | 2.0781 | 0.0933 | 0.1061 | 19.39% | 22.05% | 2.66% | |
| Age 60 or more | -1.5102 | 0.0908 | 0.1202 | -13.71% | -18.15% | -4.44% | |
| Hispanic Ethnicity | -0.1847 | 0.1629 | 0.1708 | -3.01% | -3.15% | -0.15% | |
| Race: American Indian | 0.0061 | 0.0280 | 0.0343 | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.00% | |
| Race: Asian | -0.1159 | 0.0458 | 0.0797 | -0.53% | -0.92% | -0.39% | |
| Race: Black | 0.1336 | 0.0746 | 0.0750 | 1.00% | 1.00% | 0.01% | |
| Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | -1.2564 | 0.0074 | 0.0209 | -0.93% | -2.62% | -1.69% | |
| Race: Multiple | -0.1084 | 0.0029 | 0.0318 | -0.03% | -0.35% | -0.31% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Less than High School Graduate | 0.1669 | 0.3801 | 0.1657 | 6.34% | 2.76% | -3.58% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | 0.1055 | 0.4419 | 0.3285 | 4.66% | 3.46% | -1.20% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Some College | 0.2962 | 0.1780 | 0.1863 | 5.27% | 5.52% | 0.25% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Certificate or Other Post-Secondary Degree | 0.0464 | 0.0000 | 0.0289 | 0.00% | 0.13% | 0.13% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Associate Degree | 0.3978 | 0.0000 | 0.0887 | 0.00% | 3.53% | 3.53% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Bachelor Degree | -0.0744 | 0.0000 | 0.1470 | 0.00% | -1.09% | -1.09% | |
| Individual with a Disability | 0.4502 | 0.0411 | 0.0829 | 1.85% | 3.73% | 1.88% | |
| Veteran | -0.0673 | 0.0916 | 0.0734 | -0.62% | -0.49% | 0.12% | |
| Days in Program | -0.0001 | 49.2287 | 41.0984 | -0.74% | -0.61% | 0.12% | |
| Educational Status at Program Entry | -0.0838 | 0.2137 | 0.0612 | -1.79% | -0.51% | 1.28% | |
| Employment Status at Program Entry | 0.0867 | 0.1186 | 0.1263 | 1.03% | 1.10% | 0.07% | |
| Received Wages 2 Quarters Prior to Participation | 0.2109 | 0.7210 | 0.7703 | 15.21% | 16.25% | 1.04% | |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | -0.5403 | 0.0334 | 0.0311 | -1.80% | -1.68% | 0.13% |
| Construction Employment | -1.6925 | 0.0533 | 0.0600 | -9.02% | -10.15% | -1.13% | |
| Manufacturing Employment | 0.3126 | 0.0954 | 0.0891 | 2.98% | 2.78% | -0.20% | |
| Information Services Employment | 1.4450 | 0.0385 | 0.0421 | 5.56% | 6.08% | 0.52% | |
| Financial Services Employment | 0.5555 | 0.0452 | 0.0446 | 2.51% | 2.48% | -0.04% | |
| Professional and Business Services Employment | 2.0769 | 0.1245 | 0.1252 | 25.85% | 26.01% | 0.16% | |
| Educational or Health Care Employment | 0.6732 | 0.2254 | 0.2245 | 15.17% | 15.12% | -0.06% | |
| Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | -0.2990 | 0.1056 | 0.1068 | -3.16% | -3.19% | -0.03% | |
| Other Services Employment | -0.6417 | 0.0297 | 0.0299 | -1.90% | -1.92% | -0.01% | |
| Public Administration | 0.6904 | 0.0506 | 0.0495 | 3.49% | 3.42% | -0.07% | |
| Unemployment Rate (Not Seasonally Adjusted) | -1.4093 | 0.0558 | 0.0443 | -7.86% | -6.24% | 1.62% |
Median Earnings 2nd Quarter after Exit
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2019 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2019 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| $5,641.05 | $6,417.51 | $776.46 |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Female | -4748.2524 | 0.4258 | 0.4418 | -$2,022.03 | -$2,097.62 | -$75.59 |
| Age 25 to 44 | 4392.7600 | 0.4626 | 0.4519 | $2,031.89 | $1,985.17 | -$46.71 | |
| Age 45 to 54 | 1163.6467 | 0.2181 | 0.2210 | $253.80 | $257.12 | $3.32 | |
| Age 55 to 59 | 3636.6926 | 0.0908 | 0.1072 | $330.11 | $389.89 | $59.78 | |
| Age 60 or more | 5417.9579 | 0.0726 | 0.1027 | $393.45 | $556.37 | $162.92 | |
| Hispanic Ethnicity | -326.0456 | 0.1831 | 0.1955 | -$59.69 | -$63.76 | -$4.07 | |
| Race: American Indian | 1030.5961 | 0.0248 | 0.0324 | $25.61 | $33.41 | $7.81 | |
| Race: Asian | -8028.8409 | 0.0451 | 0.0796 | -$362.22 | -$639.02 | -$276.80 | |
| Race: Black | 1169.7018 | 0.0729 | 0.0730 | $85.25 | $85.44 | $0.20 | |
| Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | -3923.2834 | 0.0072 | 0.0207 | -$28.17 | -$81.02 | -$52.85 | |
| Race: Multiple | 3344.6977 | 0.0028 | 0.0306 | $9.47 | $102.50 | $93.03 | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Less than High School Graduate | 1234.2337 | 0.3801 | 0.1768 | $469.09 | $218.22 | -$250.88 | |
| Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | 845.0035 | 0.4436 | 0.3303 | $374.85 | $279.07 | -$95.78 | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Some College | 1137.4398 | 0.1763 | 0.1801 | $200.56 | $204.82 | $4.26 | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Certificate or Other Post-Secondary Degree | 108.4920 | 0.0000 | 0.0278 | $0.00 | $3.02 | $3.02 | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Associate Degree | 1451.2893 | 0.0000 | 0.0876 | $0.00 | $127.10 | $127.10 | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Bachelor Degree | 3590.9030 | 0.0000 | 0.1450 | $0.00 | $520.55 | $520.55 | |
| Individual with a Disability | 3072.1499 | 0.0329 | 0.0628 | $101.04 | $193.03 | $91.99 | |
| Veteran | -507.5736 | 0.0839 | 0.0644 | -$42.57 | -$32.69 | $9.88 | |
| Days in Program | 0.6552 | 49.3058 | 39.9249 | $32.30 | $26.16 | -$6.15 | |
| Educational Status at Program Entry | 742.6365 | 0.2129 | 0.0565 | $158.11 | $41.98 | -$116.13 | |
| Employment Status at Program Entry | 606.3921 | 0.1328 | 0.1448 | $80.51 | $87.78 | $7.27 | |
| Received Wages 2 Quarters Prior to Participation | -1477.2714 | 0.8058 | 0.8443 | -$1,190.31 | -$1,247.33 | -$57.02 | |
| Wages 1 Quarter Prior to Participation | 0.2762 | 6580.2354 | 8767.9600 | $1,817.70 | $2,422.03 | $604.33 | |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | 9106.3509 | 0.0334 | 0.0311 | $304.03 | $282.76 | -$21.28 |
| Construction Employment | 8683.3895 | 0.0533 | 0.0600 | $462.75 | $520.74 | $57.98 | |
| Manufacturing Employment | 17671.2624 | 0.0954 | 0.0891 | $1,686.19 | $1,573.84 | -$112.35 | |
| Information Services Employment | 24834.2732 | 0.0385 | 0.0421 | $955.21 | $1,044.85 | $89.64 | |
| Financial Services Employment | 7733.2770 | 0.0452 | 0.0446 | $349.72 | $344.59 | -$5.14 | |
| Professional and Business Services Employment | 37685.1764 | 0.1245 | 0.1252 | $4,691.32 | $4,719.51 | $28.19 | |
| Educational or Health Care Employment | 25702.3783 | 0.2254 | 0.2245 | $5,792.64 | $5,771.02 | -$21.62 | |
| Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | 24853.8148 | 0.1056 | 0.1068 | $2,625.71 | $2,654.02 | $28.31 | |
| Other Services Employment | 11649.2590 | 0.0297 | 0.0299 | $345.64 | $347.79 | $2.16 | |
| Public Administration | 16297.6628 | 0.0506 | 0.0495 | $823.94 | $807.17 | -$16.77 | |
| Unemployment Rate (Not Seasonally Adjusted) | -2945.9160 | 0.0558 | 0.0443 | -$164.28 | -$130.44 | $33.84 |
Employment Rate 4th Quarter after Exit
| Estimate0 (Pre-PY 2019 Predicted Outcome) | Estimate1 (Post-PY 2019 Predicted Outcome) | Adjustment Factor |
|---|---|---|
| 69.47% | 69.84% | 0.37% |
| Variable Type | Variable | Coefficient | PY Prior | PY Actual | Variable Estimate0 | Variable Estimate1 | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Participant Characteristic | Female | -0.0995 | 0.4323 | 0.4492 | -4.30% | -4.47% | -0.17% |
| Age 25 to 44 | 0.0385 | 0.4457 | 0.4401 | 1.72% | 1.70% | -0.02% | |
| Age 45 to 54 | -0.6438 | 0.2151 | 0.2176 | -13.85% | -14.01% | -0.16% | |
| Age 55 to 59 | 1.9687 | 0.0925 | 0.1078 | 18.21% | 21.23% | 3.01% | |
| Age 60 or more | -1.1264 | 0.0886 | 0.1195 | -9.98% | -13.46% | -3.48% | |
| Hispanic Ethnicity | -0.0271 | 0.1670 | 0.1672 | -0.45% | -0.45% | 0.00% | |
| Race: American Indian | -0.1993 | 0.0274 | 0.0345 | -0.55% | -0.69% | -0.14% | |
| Race: Asian | 0.2051 | 0.0448 | 0.0784 | 0.92% | 1.61% | 0.69% | |
| Race: Black | 0.0639 | 0.0712 | 0.0741 | 0.45% | 0.47% | 0.02% | |
| Race: Hawaiian or Pacific Islander | -1.3285 | 0.0072 | 0.0209 | -0.96% | -2.78% | -1.82% | |
| Race: Multiple | -0.3427 | 0.0028 | 0.0315 | -0.10% | -1.08% | -0.98% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Less than High School Graduate | 0.1949 | 0.3799 | 0.1600 | 7.41% | 3.12% | -4.29% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: High School Equivalency | 0.0957 | 0.4403 | 0.3331 | 4.21% | 3.19% | -1.03% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Some College | 0.2672 | 0.1798 | 0.1910 | 4.80% | 5.10% | 0.30% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Certificate or Other Post-Secondary Degree | 0.0502 | 0.0000 | 0.0298 | 0.00% | 0.15% | 0.15% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Associate Degree | 0.5594 | 0.0000 | 0.0893 | 0.00% | 5.00% | 5.00% | |
| Highest Grade Completed: Bachelor Degree | -0.1254 | 0.0000 | 0.1430 | 0.00% | -1.79% | -1.79% | |
| Individual with a Disability | 0.0684 | 0.0410 | 0.0826 | 0.28% | 0.57% | 0.28% | |
| Veteran | -0.0329 | 0.0933 | 0.0768 | -0.31% | -0.25% | 0.05% | |
| Days in Program | -0.0002 | 52.0765 | 39.2562 | -1.08% | -0.81% | 0.27% | |
| Educational Status at Program Entry | -0.1473 | 0.2159 | 0.0622 | -3.18% | -0.92% | 2.26% | |
| Employment Status at Program Entry | 0.0762 | 0.1178 | 0.1249 | 0.90% | 0.95% | 0.05% | |
| Received Wages 2 Quarters Prior to Participation | 0.1795 | 0.7246 | 0.7769 | 13.01% | 13.95% | 0.94% | |
| Economic Condition | Natural Resources Employment | -2.4010 | 0.0334 | 0.0324 | -8.02% | -7.79% | 0.23% |
| Construction Employment | -2.8442 | 0.0529 | 0.0596 | -15.03% | -16.94% | -1.91% | |
| Manufacturing Employment | -1.9586 | 0.0960 | 0.0886 | -18.81% | -17.35% | 1.47% | |
| Information Services Employment | -1.4211 | 0.0382 | 0.0409 | -5.43% | -5.81% | -0.38% | |
| Financial Services Employment | -3.0359 | 0.0454 | 0.0447 | -13.79% | -13.57% | 0.22% | |
| Professional and Business Services Employment | 0.3980 | 0.1242 | 0.1251 | 4.94% | 4.98% | 0.04% | |
| Educational or Health Care Employment | -2.2246 | 0.2254 | 0.2246 | -50.15% | -49.97% | 0.18% | |
| Leisure, Hospitality, or Entertainment Employment | -1.9300 | 0.1054 | 0.1068 | -20.34% | -20.61% | -0.27% | |
| Other Services Employment | -3.3491 | 0.0296 | 0.0295 | -9.93% | -9.88% | 0.05% | |
| Public Administration | -0.9714 | 0.0507 | 0.0495 | -4.92% | -4.81% | 0.11% | |
| Unemployment Rate (Not Seasonally Adjusted) | -1.2936 | 0.0560 | 0.0445 | -7.25% | -5.76% | 1.49% |